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Sunday, May 11, 2008

WEATHER BLOG

Weather Blog

  • By DAVE NUSSBAUM

Dave Nussbaum
dnussbaum@wbrz.com

Short Term:  This Friday morning is starting out with mostly cloudy skies, and mild temperatures in the lower 60s.  It is also a little breezy.  Look for the clouds to continue to increase throughout the morning ahead of a cold front that is located across Eastern Current Day 1 Convective Outlook graphic and textTexas. 

That cold front will move through Baton Rouge this afternoon and evening.  As is nears us, scattered showers and thunderstorms will develop.  Some of these storms could be strong to severe with the main threat being damaging winds.  The Storm Prediction Center has placed us in a Slight Risk for Severe Weather today.  Click in the image to the right to see the area highlighted, and to read their thoughts. 

The cold front will move through by tonight, and the rain will end by bedtime.  If you are headed out tonight, plan for some rain early.  We will then go partly cloudy overnight.  Temperatures will be cooler as they fall to the upper 40s. 

Weekend Forecast:  High pressure will build in across the Southeast on Saturday, and that will make for some beautiful weather here.  However, we are not going to have cooler weather behind this front.  The reason is that the air mass behind this front is from the Tropical Pacific verses the Arctic.  It will be less humid, but the temperatures will be in the lower 80s on Saturday and Sunday with sunny skies.  Lows will be in the 50s. 

Next Week Outlook:  The pleasant and unseasonably warm weather will continue into next week.  Most of the week will remain dry, but we could see a few pop-up afternoon storms that die out when the sun sets - just like during the summer.  Daily highs will be in the mid 80s and low temperatures will be in the mid 60s. 

Mississippi River Levels:  This Mississippi River continues to rise across South Louisiana.  Some flooding has occurred around the St. Francisville area, and some seepage is occurring across the Baton Rouge area.  We will continue to see a small rise on the river before it crests next week.  There are also some sand boils seeping through the levees.  The Army Corps of Engineers have been watching these very closely.  Here are the latest stages, and crest levels, and they have been raised:

At Baton Rouge:  42.3 feet.  A River Flood Warning has been issued for this location.  The River is forecast to crest at 43.0 feet by April 22nd.  Flood Stage is at 35 feet, however, we are protected by the levees that go to around 45 feet.  Click here for the latest on the Flood Warnings.

At Red River Landing:  59.8 feet.  Flood Stage is at 48 feet, and a River Flood Warning is in effect here as well.  The river is forecast to crest here at 60.5 feet on the morning of April 22nd.  All river islands and camps will be under water! 

At Donaldsonville:  31.0 feet.  Flood stage is 27.0 feet.  The river will crest at 31.5 feet on April 22nd  A River Flood Warning is in effect for here as well.   

**The Bonnet Carre Spillway was opened Friday to relieve some of the pressure on the levees in New Orleans!!  However, this will have very little effect on the river levels here in Baton Rouge.

The Following links can be used to get the latest River Levels across SE Louisiana:

If you would like to have the Weather Blog in you e-mail Inbox every morning during the week, click here and sign up for FREE! 

Remember you can always get the latest forecast and radar information on Cox Cable channel 18 or Digital Cable channel 125, on www.2theadvocate.com/weather, or by calling the Weather 2 forecast line at (225) 336-2375.

 


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