2theadvocate.com | Pat Shingleton | Pat Shingleton for October 9, 2009 — Baton Rouge, LA

PAT SHINGLETON

Pat Shingleton for October 9, 2009

  • By PAT SHINGLETON
  • WBRZ Chief Forecaster
  • Published: Oct 9, 2009 - Page: 10B

I’m in the prediction business and here’s a previous article on an interesting October prediction made many years ago. In 1868, a prediction for severe storms was made on a specific day, 10 months in advance. It was Christmas Day 1868 and British naval engineer Stephen Martin Saxby made this astounding prediction. Through the London newspaper, The Standard, he believed an “atmospheric disturbance” would occur on Oct. 5. On Oct. 4, 1869, in the northeastern U.S. and Canadian Maritime Provinces, a gale claimed 100 lives, destroyed homes and grounded ships. It became known as “Saxby’s Gale.” Saxby’s prediction was based on the position of the moon relative to the Earth. This scenario repeated itself during Hurricane Lili in October 2002.

Fastcast: Wet.

A 50 percent chance of showers. Increasing clouds, high near 90. Breezy, southerly winds 10 mph to 20 mph. Tonight: Showers likely. Cloudy, low of 70. Southerly winds 5 mph to 10 mph becoming easterly. Chance of rain: 70 percent.

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